{"id":10637,"date":"2021-06-16T10:00:31","date_gmt":"2021-06-16T15:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=10637"},"modified":"2021-06-16T10:13:29","modified_gmt":"2021-06-16T15:13:29","slug":"autonomia-de-banxico-se-mantendra-como-fortaleza-crediticia-aun-con-herrera-en-relevo-moodys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/autonomia-de-banxico-se-mantendra-como-fortaleza-crediticia-aun-con-herrera-en-relevo-moodys\/","title":{"rendered":"Autonom\u00eda de Banxico se mantendr\u00e1 como fortaleza crediticia aun con Herrera en relevo: Moody’s"},"content":{"rendered":"

La calificadora Moody’s considera que la propuesta que realiz\u00f3 el presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador de Arturo Herrera como gobernador del Banco de M\u00e9xico no compromete la autonom\u00eda de la instituci\u00f3n y subraya que es una \u201cfortaleza clave para el perfil crediticio de M\u00e9xico\u201d.<\/p>\n

En un comunicado especial, firmado por los analistas Renzo Merino, Fernando Freijedo y Mauro Leos, consideraron que \u201cni el resultado en las elecciones de medio t\u00e9rmino ni los cambios en puestos clave del \u00e1rea econ\u00f3mica conducir\u00e1n a un cambio radical en las pol\u00edticas macroecon\u00f3micas\u201d.<\/p>\n

Se apoyaron en comentarios recientes de Herrera sobre pol\u00edtica monetaria para identificar \u201cuna postura pol\u00edtica un tanto dovish, pues ha declarado p\u00fablicamente que no es necesario que la tasa aumente en el corto plazo a pesar de las recientes presiones inflacionarias\u201d.<\/p>\n

Dovish, en lenguaje de pol\u00edtica monetaria, indica una postura m\u00e1s relajada en las tasas que favorece a la expansi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n

Refirieron al propio Herrera cuando coment\u00f3, como secretario de Hacienda, la importancia de que se transparente el c\u00e1lculo del remanente de operaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como la administraci\u00f3n de reservas.<\/p>\n

Sobre el resultado electoral y el impacto en la conducci\u00f3n de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica, los analistas de Moody\u00b4s expresaron que \u201cal no tener (Morena) la super mayor\u00eda, se redujo el riesgo de cambios constitucionales radicales, especialmente relativos al sector energ\u00e9tico\u201d.<\/p>\n

No obstante, comentaron que \u201csi bien la coalici\u00f3n gobernante perdi\u00f3 la super mayor\u00eda de 2\/3 del Congreso, mantuvo una simple que le permite controlar la agenda legislativa y cumplir con sus objetivos de pol\u00edtica clave, incluido su apoyo a Pemex, cambios en programas sociales y el presupuesto\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cSi bien la coalici\u00f3n gobernante perdi\u00f3 la supermayor\u00eda de 2\/3 del Congreso, mantuvo una simple que le permite controlar la agenda legislativa y cumplir con sus objetivos de pol\u00edtica clave, incluido su apoyo a Pemex, cambios en programas sociales y el presupuesto\u201d.<\/p>\n

Como se recordar\u00e1, Moody’s advirti\u00f3 el 15 de diciembre, que la reforma a la Ley del Banco de M\u00e9xico, impulsada por Morena en materia de captaci\u00f3n de divisas era negativa para la nota creditica del pa\u00eds, pues da\u00f1ar\u00eda la autonom\u00eda de Banxico y elevar\u00eda los riesgos de lavado de dinero.<\/p>\n

\u201cComprometer la autonom\u00eda del banco central socavar\u00eda la piedra angular de la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica y una fortaleza clave del perfil crediticio soberano\u201d, indic\u00f3 entonces en un comunicado difundido por la noche, previo a la discusi\u00f3n donde los legisladores pretend\u00edan aprobar la reforma.<\/p>\n

La calificaci\u00f3n de M\u00e9xico en Moody’s es \u201cBaa1\/perspectiva negativa\u201d y fue ratificada en este nivel el pasado 21 de mayo.<\/p>\n

El escal\u00f3n \u201cBaa\u201d en la nomenclatura de Moody’s, tiene tres niveles y M\u00e9xico se encuentra en el m\u00e1s alto, que est\u00e1 tres pisos arriba del Grado de Inversi\u00f3n. \u201cIndica un grado intermedio de solvencia y est\u00e1n sujetas a un riesgo moderado de incumplimiento por lo que pueden presentar ciertas caracter\u00edsticas especulativas\u201d, seg\u00fan los s\u00edmbolos y definiciones de calificaciones de Moody’s, actualizado en enero de 2021.<\/p>\n

Moody’s es la agencia que tiene a M\u00e9xico calificado en el nivel m\u00e1s alto, pero pesa en la nota la perspectiva negativa que indica una de tres posibilidades de un recorte en el lapso de 6 a 12 meses.<\/p>\n

Ram\u00edrez de la O ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s independiente<\/p>\n

En el comentario de Moody\u00b4s, tambi\u00e9n hicieron observaciones sobre el relevo en la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda, donde quedar\u00e1 a cargo Rogelio Ram\u00edrez de la O.<\/p>\n

Confiaron que el funcionario tendr\u00e1 \u201cuna postura m\u00e1s independiente en el manejo de asuntos econ\u00f3micos y fiscales respecto del que ten\u00eda Herrera\u201d pues goza de a\u00f1os de asesor\u00eda econ\u00f3mica al mandatario.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los analistas de Moody’s consideran que \u201cni el resultado en las elecciones de medio t\u00e9rmino ni los cambios en puestos clave del \u00e1rea econ\u00f3mica conducir\u00e1n a un cambio radical en las pol\u00edticas macroecon\u00f3micas\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":10639,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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