{"id":12127,"date":"2021-09-22T10:00:42","date_gmt":"2021-09-22T15:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=12127"},"modified":"2021-09-21T12:39:40","modified_gmt":"2021-09-21T17:39:40","slug":"la-ocde-revisa-al-alza-crecimiento-de-mexico-a-6-3-en-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/la-ocde-revisa-al-alza-crecimiento-de-mexico-a-6-3-en-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"La OCDE revisa al alza crecimiento de M\u00e9xico a 6.3% en 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"

La Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y el Desarrollo Econ\u00f3micos (OCDE) revis\u00f3 al alza sus perspectivas para el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de M\u00e9xico para 2021 y 2022. Seg\u00fan la nueva proyecci\u00f3n, el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) del pa\u00eds crecer\u00e1 6.3% este a\u00f1o, es decir, 1.3 puntos porcentuales m\u00e1s que la anterior proyecci\u00f3n de mayo pasado.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, el organismo internacional advierte que M\u00e9xico a\u00fan debe enfrentar grandes retos, entre ellos, la de la recuperaci\u00f3n plena del empleo.<\/p>\n

En sus nuevas proyecciones, la OCDE tambi\u00e9n revis\u00f3 las perspectivas de crecimiento para M\u00e9xico en 2022; ahora, se espera que la econom\u00eda nacional se expanda 3.4% el siguiente a\u00f1o, una diferencia de dos d\u00e9cimas respecto al pron\u00f3stico emitido en mayo por la organizaci\u00f3n. Esta estimaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 por debajo del crecimiento proyectado por la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico para 2022, del 4.1%.<\/p>\n

Con respecto a la inflaci\u00f3n anual, la OCDE espera que M\u00e9xico termine el 2021 con un alza generalizada de los precios del 5.4%, pero espera que \u00e9sta se ubique alrededor del 3.8% durante 2022. Es decir, el organismo revis\u00f3 tambi\u00e9n al alza las perspectivas de inflaci\u00f3n para M\u00e9xico en 1.3 puntos porcentuales, para 2021, y 0.7 puntos porcentuales para 2022.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, uno de los principales retos que la OCDE plante\u00f3 para la econom\u00eda mexicana es la recuperaci\u00f3n del empleo. De acuerdo con la entidad internacional, el empleo en M\u00e9xico a\u00fan est\u00e1 1.2% por debajo de los niveles previos a la pandemia (cambio porcentual entre el \u00faltimo trimestre de 2019 y el segundo trimestre de 2021).<\/p>\n

Una recuperaci\u00f3n muy desigual frente a la crisis del COVID-19 en el mundo<\/p>\n

La econom\u00eda mundial, por su parte, crecer\u00e1 en 2021 un 5.7%, seg\u00fan la OCDE, que revis\u00f3 una d\u00e9cima a la baja su previsi\u00f3n y considera que hay una recuperaci\u00f3n \u00abmuy desigual\u00bb frente a la crisis del COVID-19.<\/p>\n

\u00abEl crecimiento econ\u00f3mico ha repuntado este a\u00f1o, ayudado por el fuerte apoyo pol\u00edtico, el despliegue de vacunas eficaces y la reanudaci\u00f3n de muchas actividades econ\u00f3micas\u00bb, escribe la organizaci\u00f3n en un informe. Para 2022, prev\u00e9 una expansi\u00f3n del 4.5%.<\/p>\n

El Producto Interior Bruto (PIB) mundial recupera as\u00ed \u00absu nivel previo a la pandemia\u00bb, pero \u00ablas brechas de producci\u00f3n y empleo se mantienen en muchos pa\u00edses\u00bb, sobre todo donde \u00ablos \u00edndices de vacunaci\u00f3n son bajos\u00bb, apunta.<\/p>\n

\u00abLa falta de vacunaci\u00f3n a nivel mundial nos pone a todos en riesgo\u00bb, apunt\u00f3 en rueda de prensa la jefa de economistas de la OCDE, Laurence Boone, quien expres\u00f3 su inquietud por los pa\u00edses emergentes y de renta baja.<\/p>\n

El secretario general de la ONU, Antonio Guterres, ya critic\u00f3 d\u00edas atr\u00e1s la lentitud mundial para impulsar la vacunaci\u00f3n. La \u00abepidemia de covid-19 es una llamada de atenci\u00f3n, pero seguimos durmiendo\u00bb, dijo.<\/p>\n

\u00abPresiones inflacionistas\u00bb<\/p>\n

Tras una contracci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica en 2020 por las medidas adoptadas para frenar la propagaci\u00f3n del coronavirus, la recuperaci\u00f3n es as\u00ed \u00abmuy desigual, con resultados singularmente diferentes en los distintos pa\u00edses\u00bb, seg\u00fan la OCDE.<\/p>\n

La organizaci\u00f3n rebaj\u00f3 en un 0.9% el crecimiento de Estados Unidos en 2021 respecto a las proyecciones de mayo, que se situar\u00eda en un 6%, aunque aumenta la previsi\u00f3n para la Eurozona (5.3%, +1).<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan Boone, la revisi\u00f3n a la baja de la proyecci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos se debe a que \u00abla variante delta golpe\u00f3 con fuerza\u00bb la primera econom\u00eda mundial, aunque se est\u00e1 recuperando de nuevo \u00abcon mucha fuerza\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Por su parte, Alemania ser\u00eda la \u00fanica de las principales econom\u00edas de la Uni\u00f3n Europea (UE) en ver su previsi\u00f3n retroceder, al 2.9% (-0.4), frente a Francia (6.3%, +0.5), Italia (5.9%, +1.4) y Espa\u00f1a (6.8%, +0.9).<\/p>\n

\u00abEl fuerte apoyo de la pol\u00edtica macroecon\u00f3mica y las condiciones financieras acomodaticias deber\u00edan seguir apuntalando la demanda en los pa\u00edses avanzados\u00bb, apunta la OCDE, en referencia al paquete de est\u00edmulo de la UE y el plan de infraestructuras de Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n

La previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento de China, motor de la econom\u00eda mundial, se mantiene para el a\u00f1o en curso en un 8.5%. Las principales econom\u00edas latinoamericanas registran por su parte progresos: M\u00e9xico (6.3%, +1.3), Argentina (7.6%, +1.5) y Brasil (5.2%, +1.5).<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, \u00abalgunos pa\u00edses tienen un margen de maniobra limitado para proporcionar un apoyo amplio a la actividad, en particular aquellos en los que las presiones inflacionistas ya est\u00e1n aumenando y los tipos de inter\u00e9s de referencia han subido\u00bb, como Brasil y M\u00e9xico, seg\u00fan el informe.<\/p>\n

Respecto a la inflaci\u00f3n, las previsiones de la OCDE apuntan a un 3.6% en 2021 en Estados Unidos, un 2.1% en la Eurozona, un 5.4% en M\u00e9xico y un 7.2% en Brasil, as\u00ed como un 47% en Argentina.<\/p>\n

\u00abPensamos que se trata de un fen\u00f3meno temporal\u00bb, indic\u00f3 el secretario general de la organizaci\u00f3n, Mathias Cormann.<\/p>\n

Laurence Boone precis\u00f3 no obstante que vigilan de cerca una eventual transmisi\u00f3n del aumento de los precios a progresiones r\u00e1pidas y generalizadas de los salarios, una \u00abespiral\u00bb que quieren evitar y que \u00abpor el momento\u00bb no ocurri\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El PIB de M\u00e9xico crecer\u00e1 6.3% en 2021, seg\u00fan la nueva proyecci\u00f3n de la OCDE, 1.3 puntos m\u00e1s que la anterior estimaci\u00f3n; aunque a\u00fan debe superar la brecha en el empleo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":12129,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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