{"id":12922,"date":"2021-11-17T11:00:30","date_gmt":"2021-11-17T17:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=12922"},"modified":"2021-11-15T21:42:12","modified_gmt":"2021-11-16T03:42:12","slug":"amcham-y-moodys-dudan-que-mexico-cumpla-meta-de-crecimiento-de-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/amcham-y-moodys-dudan-que-mexico-cumpla-meta-de-crecimiento-de-6\/","title":{"rendered":"AmCham y Moody\u2019s dudan que M\u00e9xico cumpla meta de crecimiento de 6%"},"content":{"rendered":"

Especialistas de la American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) en M\u00e9xico y de la agencia Moody\u2019s expresaron sus dudas de que el pa\u00eds alcance la meta de crecimiento oficial superior al 6 % tras la \u00faltima ca\u00edda trimestral del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB).<\/p>\n

Luis Foncerrada, asesor econ\u00f3mico de AmCham M\u00e9xico, se refiri\u00f3 en el \u201cForo Econ\u00f3mico 2021\u201d organizado por la c\u00e1mara a la ca\u00edda trimestral de 0.2% del PIB de julio a septiembre que estim\u00f3 el Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Geograf\u00eda (Inegi) la semana pasada.<\/p>\n

\u201cPens\u00e1bamos que pod\u00edamos crecer m\u00e1s del 6%, me parece que eso ya es una cifra que no podremos lograr. (En) las expectativas de los especialistas del sector privado que llenamos la encuesta del Banco de M\u00e9xico, m\u00e1s de la mitad piensan que no podremos llegar al 6%\u201d, expuso en el evento.<\/p>\n

Con m\u00e1s de 3.8 millones de contagios y casi 289,000 muertes por Covid-19, la cuarta cifra m\u00e1s alta del mundo, la pandemia dej\u00f3 una contracci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica de 8.2% del PIB en 2020.<\/p>\n

El Gobierno de M\u00e9xico tiene la expectativa oficial de crecer 6.3% este a\u00f1o, anclado en particular al comercio exterior y el Tratado entre M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 (T-MEC).<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, el experto de AmCham apunt\u00f3 a la ca\u00edda del consumo en el tercer trimestre, la brecha laboral de 17.5 millones de empleos que requiere la econom\u00eda y la inflaci\u00f3n general que acumula un aumento anual de 6%, el doble de la meta oficial de Banco de M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n

\u201cSi a la falta de empleo y de inversi\u00f3n agregamos la inflaci\u00f3n, pues tenemos un escenario indudablemente preocupante\u201d, manifest\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Carlos Diaz de la Garza, director general de Moody\u2019s M\u00e9xico, record\u00f3 que el pron\u00f3stico del PIB de la agencia es cercano al 5.5%, por debajo de la meta oficial, mientras que para 2022 oscila entre 3.5% y 4%.<\/p>\n

Con este ritmo de crecimiento, advirti\u00f3, la econom\u00eda mexicana no recuperar\u00eda su nivel prepandemia hasta 2023.<\/p>\n

\u201cLa gran mayor\u00eda de los pa\u00edses van a llegar a los mismos niveles en el 2022, entonces M\u00e9xico trae un retraso\u201d, indic\u00f3.<\/p>\n

El especialista advirti\u00f3 de la percepci\u00f3n de riesgo generada por la propuesta de reforma el\u00e9ctrica del Gobierno, que limitar\u00eda a 46% la participaci\u00f3n privada en la generaci\u00f3n de electricidad, y los apoyos a Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex).<\/p>\n

\u201cEl gran riesgo que se ve desde fuera tiene mucho que ver con la pol\u00edtica y el gasto p\u00fablico del Gobierno federal, ah\u00ed hay sectores que preocupan, como puede ser el apoyo incondicional del Gobierno federal a Pemex\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p>\n

En contraste, el presidente de la Asociaci\u00f3n de Bancos de M\u00e9xico (ABM) consider\u00f3 viable el crecimiento del 6%.<\/p>\n

Aun as\u00ed, lament\u00f3 que la inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica y privada sea menor a 19 % del PIB.<\/p>\n

\u201cNos parece en la parte de inversi\u00f3n, tanto en sector p\u00fablico como privado, ser\u00eda muy deseable llegar al 25% (del PIB), que eso le dar\u00eda un dinamismo a la econom\u00eda distinta y adem\u00e1s eso traer\u00eda mejor elementos de empleo\u201d, observ\u00f3. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Con el ritmo de crecimiento actual la econom\u00eda de M\u00e9xico no recuperar\u00eda su nivel prepandemia hasta 2023, advirtieron especialistas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":12924,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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