{"id":12942,"date":"2021-11-18T09:00:18","date_gmt":"2021-11-18T15:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=12942"},"modified":"2021-11-15T22:08:01","modified_gmt":"2021-11-16T04:08:01","slug":"perspectivas-del-trigo-en-el-mercado-mundial-2021-y-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/perspectivas-del-trigo-en-el-mercado-mundial-2021-y-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectivas del trigo en el mercado mundial 2021 y 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

Las estimaciones m\u00e1s recientes del Departamento de Agricultura de Estados Unidos (USDA por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s) reportan que la producci\u00f3n mundial de trigo durante el ciclo comercial 2021\/22 alcanzar\u00edan el m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de 776 millones de toneladas.<\/p>\n

Esta cosecha superar\u00eda ligeramente las 775 millones de toneladas obtenidas el ciclo comercial anterior. El nuevo r\u00e9cord de producci\u00f3n estar\u00eda impulsado por el incremento anual de 1.1% en la superficie cosechada, lo cual compensar\u00eda una ligera ca\u00edda en el rendimiento promedio.<\/p>\n

Los principales productores de trigo son la Uni\u00f3n Europea, India y China, con participaciones de 18, 17.6 y 14.1%, respectivamente. En la Uni\u00f3n Europea se estima que la producci\u00f3n crezca 10.6% anual, mostrando una recuperaci\u00f3n importante con respecto a 2020\/21, ciclo en el que la producci\u00f3n es afectado por condiciones de sequ\u00eda.<\/p>\n

En China, la producci\u00f3n crecer\u00eda 2%, en la India se prev\u00e9 un incremento de 1.5 por ciento. Se destaca la ca\u00edda de 15% en la producci\u00f3n esperada en Rusia, que se mantiene como el cuarto productor a nivel mundial.<\/p>\n

El consumo mundial del grano tambi\u00e9n ser\u00eda r\u00e9cord (785 millones de toneladas), superando en 1.5% el anterior m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico. El principal uso del grano ser\u00e1 el consumo humano e industrial, demandando el 81% del consumo total. El 19% restante se destinar\u00eda al consumo forrajero, con crecimiento anual esperado de 1.2 por ciento.<\/p>\n

China se mantiene como el principal pa\u00eds consumidor a nivel mundial con 149 millones de toneladas, seguido por la Uni\u00f3n Europea con 108 millones. Dichos pa\u00edses concentrar\u00edan un tercio del consumo a nivel mundial, seguidos por India, Rusia y Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n

En cuanto al comercio internacional, se espera que la din\u00e1mica de crecimiento observada en la d\u00e9cada reciente se mantenga. Los principales importadores a nivel mundial son Egipto, Indonesia y China.<\/p>\n

Se destaca la ca\u00edda de 5.8% en las importaciones esperadas en China, las cuales se ubicar\u00edan en 10 millones de toneladas debido a una mayor producci\u00f3n dom\u00e9stica y menor demanda del grano para consumo forrajero.<\/p>\n

Por su parte, la Uni\u00f3n Europea regresar\u00eda al primer lugar de exportaciones, con env\u00edos cercanos a 36 millones de toneladas y crecimiento anual de 19.4 por ciento.<\/p>\n

En segundo lugar, se encontrar\u00eda Rusia (35 millones de toneladas y ca\u00edda de 9.1%), seguido por Estados Unidos y Australia. Se destaca la ca\u00edda esperada de 43% en las exportaciones de Canad\u00e1, debido a menor disponibilidad por clima adverso.<\/p>\n

El inventario final, uno de los principales determinantes del precio a nivel internacional, se estima en 277 millones de toneladas, esto es 3.9% por debajo del inventario registrado esperado para 2020\/21. Por segundo ciclo comercial consecutivo, el inventario final ir\u00eda a la baja, reflejando el mayor dinamismo de la demanda con relaci\u00f3n a la oferta.<\/p>\n

Ante los anuncios de recortes en las proyecciones de inventario final a nivel mundial, el precio de referencia internacional del trigo se mantiene presionado al alza desde mediados de 2020.<\/p>\n

El incremento en el precio internacional tambi\u00e9n refleja el aumento de los principales productos agropecuarios, debido a la pandemia por Covid-19. En mayo de 2021, el precio del trigo rojo suave de invierno (SRW) lleg\u00f3 a 293 d\u00f3lares por tonelada, el mayor valor desde inicios de 2013.<\/p>\n

De la misma forma, el precio del trigo rojo duro de invierno (HRW) se encuentra actualmente en 311 d\u00f3lares por tonelada, el mayor registro de los \u00faltimos siete a\u00f1os. En el mercado de futuros, las cotizaciones de ambas variedades para los pr\u00f3ximos meses se encuentran alrededor de 275 d\u00f3lares por tonelada, cifra que se podr\u00eda incrementar debido a mayor demanda internacional.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

China se mantiene como el principal pa\u00eds consumidor a nivel mundial con 149 millones de toneladas, seguido por la Uni\u00f3n Europea con 108 millones. Dichos pa\u00edses concentrar\u00edan un tercio del consumo a nivel mundial, seguidos por India, Rusia y EU<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":12944,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_mbp_gutenberg_autopost":false,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/__export\/1637033032904\/sites\/eleconomista\/img\/2021\/11\/15\/chinos_trigo_reuters.jpg_328101988.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"Perspectivas del trigo en el mercado mundial 2021 y 2022","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-post-agronegocios"],"yoast_head":"\nPerspectivas del trigo en el mercado mundial 2021 y 2022 · Prime Action Consulting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/perspectivas-del-trigo-en-el-mercado-mundial-2021-y-2022\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectivas del trigo en el mercado mundial 2021 y 2022 · Prime Action Consulting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China se mantiene como el principal pa\u00eds consumidor a nivel mundial con 149 millones de toneladas, seguido por la Uni\u00f3n Europea con 108 millones. 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