{"id":14836,"date":"2022-04-13T11:00:31","date_gmt":"2022-04-13T16:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=14836"},"modified":"2022-04-08T18:10:46","modified_gmt":"2022-04-08T23:10:46","slug":"la-deuda-publica-de-mexico-es-sensible-al-alza-en-la-tasa-de-banxico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/la-deuda-publica-de-mexico-es-sensible-al-alza-en-la-tasa-de-banxico\/","title":{"rendered":"La deuda p\u00fablica de M\u00e9xico es sensible al alza en la tasa de Banxico"},"content":{"rendered":"

Las finanzas p\u00fablicas de los pa\u00edses se ven afectadas con las alzas de las tasas de inter\u00e9s de sus bancos centrales, y M\u00e9xico no es la excepci\u00f3n, ya que muestra un vulnerabilidad importante.<\/p>\n

Para este a\u00f1o, Hacienda prev\u00e9 que por cada alza de 100 puntos base en la tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico), el gasto no programable del sector p\u00fablico se incremente 24,515 millones de pesos (mdp) al aumentar el pago de intereses de la deuda a tasa variable y los costos de refinanciamiento de la deuda que esta por vencer.<\/p>\n

Para 2023, Hacienda estima que un alza de 100 puntos base dejar\u00e1 un costo extra por la deuda p\u00fablica por de 34,700 millones de pesos (mdp), equivalente a 0.11% del PIB.<\/p>\n

El porcentaje que absorbe del PIB es el m\u00e1s alto, dentro de otras sensibilidades de las finanzas p\u00fablicas que eval\u00faa Hacienda, y que public\u00f3 en los Precriterios Generales de Pol\u00edtica Econ\u00f3mica reci\u00e9n entregados al Congreso, para iniciar el dise\u00f1o del paquete econ\u00f3mico 2023.<\/p>\n

Hacienda estim\u00f3 que el gasto programable aumente para 2023 en 255,663 mdp constantes frente a lo esperado para 2022, debido a un mayor costo financiero relacionado con mayores tasas de inter\u00e9s, y a un aumento de las participaciones a entidades federativas y municipios derivado de una mayor recaudaci\u00f3n federal participable.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s de la tasa de inter\u00e9s, para M\u00e9xico las variables de las que m\u00e1s dependen sus finanzas son el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico, la inflaci\u00f3n, y el precio y plataforma de producci\u00f3n del petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n

\u201cDichas estimaciones son indicativas y dentro de un rango de variaci\u00f3n acotado. Es importante destacar que se hace referencia a efectos aislados de cada uno de los factores sin considerar la interacci\u00f3n que existe entre los mismos y otros factores que inciden sobre los ingresos presupuestarios y la deuda\u201d, indica la dependencia en el documento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cada incremento de 100 puntos base a la tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia de Banxico representar\u00e1 un costo extra de 34,700 mdp en la deuda p\u00fablica en 2023, estima Hacienda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":14839,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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