{"id":15335,"date":"2022-05-19T09:00:37","date_gmt":"2022-05-19T14:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=15335"},"modified":"2022-05-18T18:12:36","modified_gmt":"2022-05-18T23:12:36","slug":"perspectivas-del-maiz-en-el-mercado-mundial-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/perspectivas-del-maiz-en-el-mercado-mundial-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectivas del ma\u00edz en el mercado mundial 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

Para el ciclo comercial 2021\/22, la producci\u00f3n mundial de ma\u00edz se prev\u00e9 al alza. En la estimaci\u00f3n de mayo del presente a\u00f1o, el Departamento de Agricultura de Estados Unidos (USDA) pronostica una producci\u00f3n r\u00e9cord de 1,215.6 millones de toneladas (mdt), volumen que representa un incremento de 7.7% con respecto al ciclo comercial anterior.<\/p>\n

Los principales productores participar\u00edan con 64% de la producci\u00f3n mundial: Estados Unidos con 32%, China 22% y Brasil 10%, respectivamente. En Estados Unidos se prev\u00e9 que la producci\u00f3n aumente 7.1% con relaci\u00f3n al ciclo anterior, al obtener cerca de 384 mdt. derivado del aumento de la superficie a cosechar en 3.7% y los rendimientos en 3.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n

En China, se estima un aumento de 4.6% con relaci\u00f3n al ciclo previo, al contemplar mayor superficie a cosechar en 5 por ciento.<\/p>\n

En Brasil, se proyecta el mayor aumento de la producci\u00f3n, cerca de 33% que equivale a 29 mdt. La superficie a cosechar ser\u00eda mayor en 9.5% y los rendimientos en 22por ciento.<\/p>\n

En Ucrania, se mantiene la proyecci\u00f3n de producci\u00f3n en 42.1 mdt para el ciclo 2021\/22 con respecto a lo estimado a inicios del a\u00f1o, dicho volumen representar\u00eda un aumento de 39% con relaci\u00f3n al ciclo previo, que equivale a 11.8 mdt. La participaci\u00f3n de Ucrania en la producci\u00f3n mundial ser\u00eda de 3.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Por su parte, en Rusia, la producci\u00f3n del grano es proyectada es 15.2 mdt, lo cual contempla un incremento de 9.8% con relaci\u00f3n al ciclo anterior. Su participaci\u00f3n en el total mundial ser\u00eda de 1.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n

El consumo mundial se mantendr\u00eda al alza por noveno ciclo consecutivo. En 2021\/22 se alcanzar\u00eda un consumo r\u00e9cord de 1,182.6 mdt, que supera en 3.2% de lo observado en el ciclo anterior.<\/p>\n

El consumo forrajero se estima en 750 mdt y el consumo humano e industrial en 432.6 mdt. Se conservan como principales pa\u00edses consumidores, Estados Unidos con 26.7% de total, China con 24.6%, la Uni\u00f3n Europea 6.8%, Brasil 6.2% y M\u00e9xico con 3.8 por ciento.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con el USDA, la invasi\u00f3n militar de Rusia en Ucrania ha sido uno de los principales factores que m\u00e1s han afectado el comercio mundial de cereales, ya que son de los principales productores y exportadores de granos, provocando mayor incertidumbre sobre la oferta y la demanda agr\u00edcola mundial.<\/p>\n

El USDA prev\u00e9, es su primera estimaci\u00f3n, que la producci\u00f3n mundial del ma\u00edz se reduzca en 2.9% en el ciclo 2022\/23, con los principales ajustes a la baja en Ucrania (-53.7%) y Estados Unidos (-4.3%).<\/p>\n

Para el ciclo 2021\/22, el comercio internacional de ma\u00edz se prev\u00e9 al alza, aunque a un nivel ligeramente menor a lo previsto a inicios de 2022. El volumen a exportar se estima en 197.8 mdt, lo que significar\u00eda una variaci\u00f3n anual de 8.1%. Los principales pa\u00edses contribuir\u00edan con 86% de las exportaciones.<\/p>\n

En Ucrania las expectativas de las exportaciones se redujeron en 30% a partir del conflicto b\u00e9lico con Rusia; y se estiman a la baja en un 61% en el ciclo 2022\/23.<\/p>\n

En 2021, el precio internacional del grano cotiz\u00f3 en 258.4 d\u00f3lares por tonelada (USD\/ton), lo que signific\u00f3 un aumento de 56.4% con relaci\u00f3n al promedio en 2020. En ese a\u00f1o, el precio mensual fluctu\u00f3 entre 230 y 305 USD\/ton.<\/p>\n

El precio estuvo influenciado por el crecimiento moderado de la producci\u00f3n, que fue menor al incremento del consumo, lo que deriv\u00f3 en un menor nivel de inventarios al cierre del ciclo comercial 2020\/21.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, otros factores como la mayor presi\u00f3n inflacionaria en el mundo y los problemas en las cadenas de suministros.<\/p>\n

A partir del inicio de la operaci\u00f3n militar de Rusia en territorio de Ucrania, el 24 de febrero de 2022, los precios del ma\u00edz se ajustaron al alza. De 291 USD\/ton registrado en febrero, pas\u00f3 a 332.7 USD\/ton en marzo y luego a 346.3 USD\/ton en abril, con observaciones diarias por arriba de los 350 USD\/ton.<\/p>\n

Lo anterior representa un alza de un 30% con relaci\u00f3n a la cotizaci\u00f3n observada al cierre de 2021. Los precios futuros se prev\u00e9n en un nivel elevado, con cierta moderaci\u00f3n a un promedio de 300 USD\/ton.<\/p>\n

El escenario actual podr\u00eda continuar con mayores presiones en los precios de los granos por la incertidumbre geopol\u00edtica y su posible impacto sobre el mercado agr\u00edcola.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El consumo mundial se mantendr\u00eda al alza por noveno ciclo consecutivo. En 2021\/22 se alcanzar\u00eda un consumo r\u00e9cord de 1,182.6 millones de oneladas, que supera en 3.2% de lo observado en el ciclo anterior.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":15337,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_mbp_gutenberg_autopost":false,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.yakult.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/sem432020.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"Perspectivas del ma\u00edz en el mercado mundial 2022","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-post-agronegocios"],"yoast_head":"\nPerspectivas del ma\u00edz en el mercado mundial 2022 · Prime Action Consulting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/perspectivas-del-maiz-en-el-mercado-mundial-2022\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectivas del ma\u00edz en el mercado mundial 2022 · Prime Action Consulting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El consumo mundial se mantendr\u00eda al alza por noveno ciclo consecutivo. 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