{"id":15989,"date":"2022-07-01T09:00:12","date_gmt":"2022-07-01T14:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=15989"},"modified":"2022-06-30T17:25:53","modified_gmt":"2022-06-30T22:25:53","slug":"perspectivas-del-trigo-en-el-mercado-mundial-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/perspectivas-del-trigo-en-el-mercado-mundial-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectivas del trigo en el mercado mundial 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

La pandemia del Covid-19, la invasi\u00f3n militar rusa a Ucrania, adem\u00e1s de los fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos, son factores han mantenido la volatilidad en los mercados de los cereales<\/p>\n

El Departamento de Agricultura de Estados Unidos (USDA) estima que la producci\u00f3n mundial de trigo durante el ciclo comercial 2022\/23 ser\u00e1 de alrededor de 774.8 millones de toneladas (mdt). Este volumen representar\u00eda un ligero decremento anual de 0.6%.<\/p>\n

De manera m\u00e1s espec\u00edfica, la Uni\u00f3n Europea se mantendr\u00eda en la posici\u00f3n n\u00famero uno en la producci\u00f3n de trigo, con una participaci\u00f3n del 17.6% durante 2022\/23. El segundo y tercer lugar lo ocupar\u00edan China e India, con una participaci\u00f3n sobre el total mundial de 17.4 y 14%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

El consumo mundial ascender\u00eda a 783.9 millones de toneladas, 0.4% menos que el ciclo comercial anterior. Este valor est\u00e1 compuesto por el consumo forrajero 19.6% y consumo humano e industrial 80.4 por ciento.<\/p>\n

El primer lugar de consumo del cereal a nivel mundial lo tiene China, con una participaci\u00f3n de 18.4 por ciento. Le sigue la Uni\u00f3n Europea con una participaci\u00f3n sobre el total mundial del 13.8% por ciento. Para esta regi\u00f3n, el consumo humano e industrial se redujo en la \u00faltima proyecci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Los altos precios del trigo han hecho que el ma\u00edz sea m\u00e1s competitivo y, para la Uni\u00f3n Europea, se ha convertido en una buena opci\u00f3n para usos industriales, como la producci\u00f3n de biocombustibles, lo que result\u00f3 en menos consumo del cereal.<\/p>\n

El inventario final durante 2022\/23, se espera que sea menor al del ciclo previo, el cual se prev\u00e9 en 267.0 mdt. Con respecto al ciclo anterior, el inventario ser\u00eda 4.5% inferior.<\/p>\n

En relaci\u00f3n al comercio internacional, para el ciclo 2022\/23, se esperan incrementos de 2.5% en las exportaciones. La leve variaci\u00f3n positiva se debe a que se estim\u00f3 un aumento en las exportaciones de Rusia, proyect\u00e1ndose como el principal exportador de trigo, seguido de la Uni\u00f3n Europea, Australia, Canad\u00e1 y Estados Unidos. <\/p>\n

La pandemia del covid-19, la invasi\u00f3n militar de parte de Rusia a Ucrania que inici\u00f3 en febrero, adem\u00e1s de los fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos, son algunos de los factores han mantenido la volatilidad en los mercados de los cereales.<\/p>\n

El conflicto b\u00e9lico ha mantenido la atenci\u00f3n en Rusia porque es el principal exportador del mundo de trigo, mientras que se prev\u00e9 que Ucrania sea el cuarto. <\/p>\n

La producci\u00f3n en M\u00e9xico se estima que ser\u00e1 de 3.2 mdt. durante 2022\/23, lo anterior representar\u00eda un ligero decremento de 0.3% con relaci\u00f3n al ciclo previo, de acuerdo con el USDA.<\/p>\n

Los dos principales usos de este grano son la preparaci\u00f3n de pan, galletas o pasteles (trigo panificable o harinero) y la producci\u00f3n de pastas para consumo humano (trigo cristalino).<\/p>\n

De acuerdo a la \u00faltima estimaci\u00f3n reportada por el Grupo de Trabajo de Balanzas Disponibilidad-Consumo para la oferta total de trigo panificable en 2022\/23 de 7.4 mdt, 3.4% inferior a la oferta del ciclo anterior.<\/p>\n

La oferta en este ciclo estar\u00eda compuesta por 1.1 mdt de inventario inicial, 1.6 mdt de producci\u00f3n nacional y 4.7 mdt de las importaciones.<\/p>\n

En relaci\u00f3n a la demanda interna de trigo panificable, se estima que para 2022\/23 ser\u00eda de 6.3 mdt, 3.4% inferior a la observada en el ciclo comercial previo. El consumo humano concentrar\u00eda cerca del 98.2% de la demanda total y el resto se distribuir\u00eda entre consumo forrajero, semillas para siembra y mermas.<\/p>\n

Con relaci\u00f3n a la oferta nacional de trigo cristalino durante 2022\/23 se estima cercana a 2.4 mdt, un incremento de 21.9% a lo registrada durante el ciclo anterior. La oferta estar\u00eda compuesta por 10.9% del inventario inicial y 88.5% de producci\u00f3n dom\u00e9stica.<\/p>\n

Las importaciones se mantienen casi nulas ya que M\u00e9xico se mantiene como pa\u00eds autosuficiente en este tipo de cereal. La demanda de trigo durante 2022\/23 estar\u00eda pronosticada en 2.1 mdt y ser\u00eda 25.5% mayor a la cifra del ciclo 2021\/22.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La pandemia del Covid-19, la invasi\u00f3n militar rusa a Ucrania, adem\u00e1s de los fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos, son factores han mantenido la volatilidad en los mercados de los cereales El Departamento de Agricultura de Estados Unidos (USDA) estima que la producci\u00f3n mundial de trigo durante el ciclo comercial 2022\/23 ser\u00e1 de alrededor de 774.8 millones de toneladas […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":15991,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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