{"id":18398,"date":"2023-03-22T14:15:13","date_gmt":"2023-03-22T20:15:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=18398"},"modified":"2023-03-22T13:27:15","modified_gmt":"2023-03-22T19:27:15","slug":"sector-privado-mantiene-en-1-4-estimacion-del-pib-de-mexico-para-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/sector-privado-mantiene-en-1-4-estimacion-del-pib-de-mexico-para-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Sector privado mantiene en 1.4% estimaci\u00f3n del PIB de M\u00e9xico para 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"

Analistas del sector privado mantuvieron en 1.4% la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento del producto interno bruto (PIB) de M\u00e9xico para el cierre de 2023, revel\u00f3 este martes la \u00faltima \u201cEncuesta Citibanamex de Expectativas\u201d.<\/p>\n

Este pron\u00f3stico quincenal mantiene la ligera mejor\u00eda del \u00faltimo sondeo tras el 1.1% previsto hace un mes, luego de confirmarse una expansi\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda mexicana de 3.1% al cierre de 2022, seg\u00fan datos oficiales.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con este levantamiento entre 34 grupos de an\u00e1lisis de diferentes bancos, casas de bolsas y otros traders y brokers, el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del PIB mexicano al finalizar el a\u00f1o se ubica entre un m\u00ednimo de 0.8%, estimado por Bank of Am\u00e9rica, BX+ y Natixis y un m\u00e1ximo de 1.9%, previsto por JP Morgan.<\/p>\n

\u201cPara 2023, el consenso a\u00fan estima el crecimiento del PIB en 1.4%, con un rango de estimaciones que va de 0.8% a 1.9%\u201d, se lee en la encuesta de Citibanamex.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con las estimaciones del Gobierno mexicano, el crecimiento del PIB esperado para 2023 es de entre 1.2% y 3%, por encima del consenso entre analistas privados.<\/p>\n

Para 2024, la estimaci\u00f3n mediana del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico se ubic\u00f3 en 1.9%, como proyectaron los analistas en la \u00faltima encuesta.<\/p>\n

En el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, el escenario m\u00e1s alentador es el previsto por el CI Banco de 2.8%, que contrasta con el nulo crecimiento esperado por el Bank of America.<\/p>\n

En tanto, la encuesta del Citibanamex reflej\u00f3 que las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n general para 2023 aumentaron hasta una perspectiva de 5.3%, desde un 5.2% anterior.<\/p>\n

Sobre la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente, que excluye productos de alta volatilidad como los energ\u00e9ticos, los analistas consultados por Citibanamex tambi\u00e9n esperaron que 2023 cierre en una tasa mayor de 5.3% desde un 5.2% previo.<\/p>\n

Para 2024, las proyecciones para la inflaci\u00f3n general incrementaron a 4.06%, por encima de la tasa objetivo del Banco de M\u00e9xico de 3%.<\/p>\n

Asimismo, la encuesta anticip\u00f3 \u201cun peso m\u00e1s fuerte, otra vez\u201d en 2023, pues se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el consenso entre analistas es que el tipo de cambio concluya en 19.47 pesos por d\u00f3lar al cierre de 2023, desde una previa de 19.77 unidades por billete verde.<\/p>\n

Para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o se espera un cierre del peso mexicano en 20.25 pesos por d\u00f3lar, una apreciaci\u00f3n desde la \u00faltima cifra de 20.5 unidades.<\/p>\n

Los analistas consultados por el Citibanamex tambi\u00e9n mantuvieron su proyecci\u00f3n de que la pol\u00edtica monetaria de Banxico se eleve 25 puntos base.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl pron\u00f3stico del consenso para la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria al cierre de 2023 aument\u00f3 a 11.5% desde 11.25% hace una quincena\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 la m\u00e1s reciente encuesta.<\/p>\n

En tanto, para 2024, los analistas privados mantuvieron su proyecci\u00f3n de que la tasa de fondeo se ubique en 8.5%. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Este pron\u00f3stico quincenal mantiene la ligera mejor\u00eda del \u00faltimo sondeo tras el 1.1% previsto hace un mes, luego de confirmarse una expansi\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda mexicana de 3.1% al cierre de 2022, seg\u00fan datos oficiales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":18400,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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mantiene en 1.4% estimaci\u00f3n del PIB de M\u00e9xico para 2023","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-post-minorista"],"yoast_head":"\nSector privado mantiene en 1.4% estimaci\u00f3n del PIB de M\u00e9xico para 2023 · Prime Action Consulting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/sector-privado-mantiene-en-1-4-estimacion-del-pib-de-mexico-para-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sector privado mantiene en 1.4% estimaci\u00f3n del PIB de M\u00e9xico para 2023 · Prime Action Consulting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Este pron\u00f3stico quincenal mantiene la ligera 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