{"id":18525,"date":"2023-04-12T13:10:10","date_gmt":"2023-04-12T18:10:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=18525"},"modified":"2023-04-12T13:20:17","modified_gmt":"2023-04-12T18:20:17","slug":"el-fmi-alerta-por-vulnerabilidad-del-sistema-financiero-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/el-fmi-alerta-por-vulnerabilidad-del-sistema-financiero-global\/","title":{"rendered":"El FMI alerta por vulnerabilidad del sistema financiero global"},"content":{"rendered":"

El Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) advirti\u00f3 el martes de que la vulnerabilidad del sistema financiero podr\u00eda desembocar en una nueva crisis y golpear el crecimiento mundial este a\u00f1o, pero inst\u00f3 a los pa\u00edses miembros a seguir endureciendo la pol\u00edtica monetaria para luchar contra la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Las advertencias denotan un tono sombr\u00edo para las reuniones de primavera del FMI y el Banco Mundial (BM), que se celebran esta semana en Washington, en las que las fuerzas econ\u00f3micas y de mercado en conflicto enturbian la senda de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica a medida que el crecimiento se ralentiza en respuesta a las r\u00e1pidas subidas de las tasas de inter\u00e9s de los bancos centrales.<\/p>\n

El FMI baj\u00f3 el martes sus previsiones de crecimiento mundial para 2023, pero excluy\u00f3, por ahora, un nuevo estallido de las turbulencias del sistema financiero tras las quiebras en marzo de los bancos estadounidenses Silicon Valley Bank y Signature Bank y la venta forzosa de Credit Suisse en Suiza.<\/p>\n

El informe Perspectivas de la Econom\u00eda Mundial del Fondo prev\u00e9 un crecimiento real del PIB del 2.8% en 2023 y del 3% en 2024 , una d\u00e9cima menos de lo que predijo en enero para cada a\u00f1o. La econom\u00eda mundial creci\u00f3 un 3.4% en 2022.<\/p>\n

Las revisiones a la baja reflejan los peores resultados de algunas de las econom\u00edas m\u00e1s grandes, como Jap\u00f3n, Alemania, India y Brasil, que compensan los mejores resultados de Estados Unidos y la menor contracci\u00f3n de Reino Unido.<\/p>\n

El FMI tambi\u00e9n mencion\u00f3 las expectativas de un endurecimiento de las condiciones financieras este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Pero su previsi\u00f3n estaba dominada por los riesgos a la baja, incluida una inflaci\u00f3n a\u00fan mayor, una escalada de la guerra en Ucrania y un escenario adverso severo de una nueva crisis financiera que podr\u00eda provocar reducciones de los pr\u00e9stamos y el gasto de los hogares y una huida hacia activos refugio.<\/p>\n

Lo \u00faltimo podr\u00eda hacer retroceder el crecimiento mundial a alrededor del 1% este a\u00f1o, lo que supondr\u00eda una recesi\u00f3n en t\u00e9rminos de PIB per c\u00e1pita.<\/p>\n

Riesgos graves<\/p>\n

El Informe sobre la estabilidad financiera mundial del FMI advierte de una \u00abpeligrosa combinaci\u00f3n de vulnerabilidades\u00bb en los mercados financieros, afirmando que algunos agentes no se hab\u00edan preparado adecuadamente para el impacto de las subidas de las tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Los riesgos han aumentado r\u00e1pidamente tras las turbulencias del mes pasado en el sistema financiero mundial, y los inversores permanecen en vilo y algunos buscan el siguiente eslab\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil que pudiera propagar el contagio, dijeron funcionarios del FMI.<\/p>\n

\u00abIncluso si se piensa que, en promedio, los bancos tienen mucho capital y liquidez, podr\u00eda haber instituciones d\u00e9biles que luego contagien al sistema en su conjunto\u00bb, dijo a Reuters Tobias Adrian, director del Departamento de Mercados Monetarios y de Capital del FMI.<\/p>\n

A pesar de las advertencias, el economista jefe del FMI, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, afirm\u00f3 que la inflaci\u00f3n sigue siendo el mayor problema y que la estabilidad de precios deber\u00eda primar sobre los riesgos para la estabilidad financiera en la pol\u00edtica monetaria de los bancos centrales.<\/p>\n

S\u00f3lo en el caso de una crisis financiera muy grave deber\u00edan invertirse esas prioridades, dijo en una conferencia de prensa.<\/p>\n

La reacci\u00f3n de Yellen<\/p>\n

La secretaria del Tesoro estadounidense, Janet Yellen, contest\u00f3 a las perspectivas del FMI en una rueda de prensa en la que dijo que el panorama era \u00abrazonablemente brillante\u00bb, aunque se mantiene \u00abvigilante\u00bb ante los riesgos a la baja, como las presiones bancarias y la guerra en Ucrania.<\/p>\n

\u00abYo no exagerar\u00eda el negativismo sobre la econom\u00eda mundial\u00bb, dijo Yellen, a\u00f1adiendo que varias econom\u00edas, incluida la de Estados Unidos, se estaban mostrando resistentes gracias a la fortaleza de los mercados laborales, la superaci\u00f3n de los problemas de la cadena de suministro y la reducci\u00f3n de los costos energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n

Yellen dijo que no hab\u00eda visto indicios de una contracci\u00f3n del cr\u00e9dito tras las quiebras de SVB y Signature Bank, y que el sistema bancario estadounidense era s\u00f3lido, con fuertes posiciones de capital y liquidez.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El FMI advierte una \u00abpeligrosa combinaci\u00f3n de vulnerabilidades\u00bb en los mercados financieros debido al impacto de los aumentos en las tasas de inter\u00e9s de los principales bancos centrales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":18527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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