{"id":18540,"date":"2023-04-13T12:50:49","date_gmt":"2023-04-13T17:50:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=18540"},"modified":"2023-04-13T13:34:22","modified_gmt":"2023-04-13T18:34:22","slug":"panorama-inflacionario-sigue-complejo-aunque-presiones-se-han-moderado-banxico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/panorama-inflacionario-sigue-complejo-aunque-presiones-se-han-moderado-banxico\/","title":{"rendered":"Panorama inflacionario sigue complejo, aunque presiones se han moderado: Banxico"},"content":{"rendered":"

Los integrantes de la Junta de Gobierno del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico), consideraron que el panorama inflacionario sigue siendo complejo e incierto, si bien reconocieron que algunas presiones est\u00e1n moder\u00e1ndose.<\/p>\n

En la Minuta sobre la reuni\u00f3n con motivo de la decisi\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria anunciada el 30 de marzo pasado, se explic\u00f3 que este \u00f3rgano tomar\u00e1 su pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n, en funci\u00f3n del panorama inflacionario, considerando la postura monetaria ya alcanzada.<\/p>\n

El 30 de marzo el Banxico anunci\u00f3 una nueva subida, ahora de 25 puntos base, a la tasa de referencia, con lo que se ubic\u00f3 en 11.25%; mientras que la inflaci\u00f3n general en marzo fue de 6.85%, segundo mes consecutivo a la baja.<\/p>\n

El documento detall\u00f3 que la mayor\u00eda de los integrantes consider\u00f3 que las presiones provenientes del exterior han disminuido, y algunos mencionaron que ahora las internas son las que se presentan como un reto, en especial aquellas que afectan a los precios de los servicios.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la minuta, la mayor\u00eda de los integrantes se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la inflaci\u00f3n general anual ha disminuido debido a la evoluci\u00f3n del componente no subyacente, mientras que la subyacente se ha ajustado a la baja de manera gradual.<\/p>\n

\u201cLa mayor\u00eda se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente contin\u00faa mostrando persistencia, manteni\u00e9ndose en niveles elevados\u201d, destac\u00f3 el documento.<\/p>\n

Asimismo, si bien todos mencionaron que la inflaci\u00f3n de mercanc\u00edas sigui\u00f3 disminuyendo, la mayor\u00eda resalt\u00f3 la tendencia alcista en los servicios.<\/p>\n

\u201cLa mayor\u00eda destac\u00f3 que los precios de diversos servicios muestran importantes incrementos derivados de los altos costos de sus insumos\u201d.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed, la mayor\u00eda mencion\u00f3 que los pron\u00f3sticos del Banxico para las inflaciones general y subyacente se ajustaron marginalmente, y se\u00f1al\u00f3 que se sigue anticipando que se converja a la meta, en el cuarto trimestre del 2024.<\/p>\n

Entre los riesgos al alza para la inflaci\u00f3n, la mayor\u00eda mencion\u00f3 la persistencia del componente subyacente en niveles elevados, y consider\u00f3 que el balance respecto de la trayectoria prevista en el horizonte de pron\u00f3stico, se mantiene sesgado al alza.<\/p>\n

Se mantendr\u00e1 vigilante<\/p>\n

En este sentido, la Junta de Gobierno evalu\u00f3 la magnitud y diversidad de los choques inflacionarios y sus determinantes, as\u00ed como la evoluci\u00f3n de las expectativas de mediano y largo plazos, y el proceso de formaci\u00f3n de precios.<\/p>\n

De igual forma, consider\u00f3 los retos ante el apretamiento de las condiciones financieras globales, el entorno de incertidumbre, la persistencia de las presiones inflacionarias acumuladas, y la posibilidad de mayores afectaciones, as\u00ed como la postura monetaria que ya se ha alcanzado en este ciclo alcista.<\/p>\n

Fue por ello, expuso la minuta, que decidi\u00f3 incrementar en 25 puntos base el objetivo para la tasa de inter\u00e9s interbancaria a un d\u00eda, a un nivel de 11.25 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Con esta acci\u00f3n, agreg\u00f3, se reduce el ritmo de incrementos, y la postura de pol\u00edtica monetaria se ajusta a la trayectoria que se requiere para que la inflaci\u00f3n converja a su meta de 3% dentro del horizonte de pron\u00f3stico.<\/p>\n

De igual forma, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la Junta de Gobierno vigilar\u00e1 estrechamente las presiones inflacionarias, as\u00ed como todos los factores que inciden en la trayectoria prevista para la inflaci\u00f3n y en sus expectativas.<\/p>\n

Lo anterior, expuso, con el objetivo de determinar una tasa de referencia congruente en todo momento, tanto con la convergencia ordenada y sostenida de la inflaci\u00f3n general, como con un ajuste adecuado de la econom\u00eda y de los mercados financieros<\/p>\n

Opini\u00f3n disidente<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la minuta, la subgobernadora Irene Espinosa, consider\u00f3 que la gu\u00eda futura del comunicado sobre pol\u00edtica monetaria, se limita \u00fanicamente a la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n, y omite comunicar que se anticipa que la postura monetaria tenga que mantenerse en terreno restrictivo durante dos a\u00f1os, para lograr la convergencia de la inflaci\u00f3n a la meta puntual del 3 por ciento.<\/p>\n

\u201cCon ello, refuerza una visi\u00f3n de muy corto plazo, necesariamente parcial e incompleta, que no cumple con el objetivo de coadyuvar a la formaci\u00f3n de expectativas para el horizonte en el que opera la pol\u00edtica monetaria. Por lo anterior, reitero la necesidad impostergable de evaluar nuestra pol\u00edtica de comunicaci\u00f3n\u201d, dijo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tomar\u00e1 su pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria, considerando la postura ya alcanzada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":18542,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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