{"id":19514,"date":"2023-07-20T12:55:15","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T17:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=19514"},"modified":"2023-07-20T13:51:31","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T18:51:31","slug":"mexico-tiene-la-segunda-inflacion-mas-baja-entre-emergentes-de-america-latina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/mexico-tiene-la-segunda-inflacion-mas-baja-entre-emergentes-de-america-latina\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e9xico tiene la segunda inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s baja entre emergentes de Am\u00e9rica Latina"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9xico consigui\u00f3 en junio la segunda variaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s baja de la inflaci\u00f3n entre los pa\u00edses mas grandes de Am\u00e9rica Latina, de 5.06%, pero se mantiene lejos del objetivo del estabilidad, fijado por Banco de M\u00e9xico en 3 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Con la fluctuaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s baja y ya en el objetivo de estabilidad que tiene su banco central, se ubic\u00f3 Brasil, que registr\u00f3 3% en su lectura anual de inflaci\u00f3n durante junio.<\/p>\n

El director para Am\u00e9rica Latina en la consultor\u00eda Moody\u00b4s Analytics, Alfredo Couti\u00f1o, coment\u00f3 que el Banco de Brasil destaca ahora como el \u00fanico del continente que llev\u00f3 la inflaci\u00f3n al objetivo, que en ese caso es de 3.25 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Couti\u00f1o explic\u00f3, en entrevista, que el banco central de Brasil, que lidera el gobernador Roberto de Oliveira Campos Neto, aplic\u00f3 una estrategia de dos componentes: el diagn\u00f3stico preciso de la naturaleza de la inflaci\u00f3n y un programa monetario estricto, sin espacio a la vacilaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

El Banco de Brasil aplic\u00f3 una pol\u00edtica alcista de la tasa durante 18 meses, desde marzo del 2021 hasta agosto del 2022 y a partir de ese momento entr\u00f3 en pausa y dej\u00f3 la tasa en 13.75 por ciento.<\/p>\n

De hecho la pausa en la tasa de Selic, la de refencia, cumple 11 meses este mes de julio.<\/p>\n

El Banco de Brasil fue el primero en incrementar la tasa en el episodio de pol\u00edtica restrictiva mundial, desde marzo del 2021. Ese primer aumento fue de tres cuartos de punto, el m\u00e1s pronunciado al inicio del ciclo restrictivo de las tasas mundiales y el primero de 12 incrementos consecutivos.<\/p>\n

El ciclo alcista de Brasil acumul\u00f3 un aumento de 1,375 puntos base en la tasa e incluy\u00f3 una pausa de la trayectoria alcista que lleva 11 meses.<\/p>\n

Couti\u00f1o resalt\u00f3 el caso mexicano, que fue el segundo de la regi\u00f3n en iniciar el ciclo alcista de la tasa, en junio del a\u00f1o 2021. Tras 24 meses de aplicar una pol\u00edtica restrictiva, la inflaci\u00f3n se ubica en 5.2 por ciento.<\/p>\n

\u201cLo que se necesita es que Banco de M\u00e9xico mantenga condiciones monetarias en terreno restrictivo por un periodo prolongado como lo ha establecido, de modo que traiga de regreso a las expectativas a niveles m\u00e1s bajos y ayude a reducir la subyacente\u201d, resalt\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Resistencia subyacente<\/p>\n

La inflaci\u00f3n subyacente es el indicador que descuenta los precios m\u00e1s vol\u00e1tiles de la econom\u00eda, es la parte m\u00e1s pura de la inflaci\u00f3n y es el factor clave para las decisiones monetarias de los bancos centrales.<\/p>\n

Y se ha convertido en el foco de riesgo para la desinflaci\u00f3n. As\u00ed lo ha explicado los l\u00edderes del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) y del Banco de Pagos Internacionales (BIS).<\/p>\n

La directora Gerente del FMI, Kristalina Georgieva alert\u00f3 esta semana, en un blog institucional, que la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente se mantiene lejos de los niveles fijados como meta por los bancos centrales.<\/p>\n

Mientras el director General del BIS, Agust\u00edn Carstens, explic\u00f3 hace dos semanas, al presentar el Informe Anual del organismo, que \u201clos avances logrados hasta ahora en la lucha contra la inflaci\u00f3n se deben, en gran medida, a la relajaci\u00f3n de las cadenas de suministro y la ca\u00edda de los precios de materias primas\u201d.<\/p>\n

Pero la resistencia de la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente mundial no parece reflejar esta relajaci\u00f3n de las tensiones en las cadenas de suministro.<\/p>\n

M\u00e9xico registr\u00f3 una fluctuaci\u00f3n de 6.98% anual en la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente de junio, que hil\u00f3 una quinta lectura mensual a la baja pero es m\u00e1s del doble del objetivo puntual de inflaci\u00f3n que tiene fijado Banco de M\u00e9xico en 3 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Couti\u00f1o detall\u00f3 que entre los gigantes latinoamericanos, Per\u00fa, Colombia y Chile fueron los que entraron m\u00e1s tarde en el ciclo alcista de la tasa, si bien lo hicieron desde 2021.<\/p>\n

Si los bancos centrales de la regi\u00f3n est\u00e1n comprometidos con su mandato constitucional, que es la estabilidad de precios, tendr\u00edan que aplicar un programa monetario como el de Brasil, consign\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9xico consigui\u00f3 en junio la segunda variaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s baja de la inflaci\u00f3n entre los pa\u00edses mas grandes de Am\u00e9rica Latina, de 5.06%, pero se mantiene lejos del objetivo el fijado por el Banxico en 3 por ciento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":19516,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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