{"id":8380,"date":"2021-01-27T11:00:25","date_gmt":"2021-01-27T17:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/?p=8380"},"modified":"2021-01-21T21:13:56","modified_gmt":"2021-01-22T03:13:56","slug":"vacunacion-y-eu-son-claves-para-la-recuperacion-de-mexico-shcp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/backup.primeaction.com\/sp\/vacunacion-y-eu-son-claves-para-la-recuperacion-de-mexico-shcp\/","title":{"rendered":"Vacunaci\u00f3n y EU son claves para la recuperaci\u00f3n de M\u00e9xico: SHCP"},"content":{"rendered":"

La recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica de M\u00e9xico depender\u00e1 en gran medida de la econom\u00eda estadounidense, adem\u00e1s del proceso de vacunaci\u00f3n en el pa\u00eds, se\u00f1al\u00f3 Arturo Herrera, titular de la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico (SHCP).<\/p>\n

\u201cUn problema muy importante es el desempe\u00f1o de la econom\u00eda de Estados Unidos, el tama\u00f1o de ambos pa\u00edses (M\u00e9xico y Estados Unidos); ambos est\u00e1n fuertemente correlacionados\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 el funcionario en el marco del foro virtual \u2018Credit Outlook 2021 Latin America\u2019 organizado por la calificadora Fitch Ratings.<\/p>\n

El funcionario indic\u00f3 que el a\u00f1o pasado, justo en medio de la pandemia, M\u00e9xico sign\u00f3 el tratado comercial con Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 (T-MEC), pero a pesar de que fue muy ben\u00e9fico, no se pudo aprovechar todo su potencial debido a la crisis sanitaria.<\/p>\n

Herrera tambi\u00e9n apunt\u00f3 que con la entrada de la nueva administraci\u00f3n en el vecino pa\u00eds del norte se dar\u00e1n cambios y se favorecer\u00e1n las agendas multilaterales.<\/p>\n

\u201cSe espera que algunos de los grandes problemas internacionales cambien en un futuro, la administraci\u00f3n de Trump favoreci\u00f3 bastante una conversaci\u00f3n bilateral, a veces complicada. Se espera que la administraci\u00f3n de Biden favorezca m\u00e1s foros y acuerdos multilaterales\u201d, expuso.<\/p>\n

Uno de los puntos a considerar para la incipiente recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica de M\u00e9xico, de acuerdo con el secretario, es el proceso de vacunaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

\u201cTenemos un orden espec\u00edfico para las vacunas, primero consideramos a los trabajadores de la salud, cerca de un mill\u00f3n de trabajadores, y no solo consideramos doctores y enfermeras, tambi\u00e9n t\u00e9cnicos y polic\u00edas que est\u00e1n en estas instituciones de salud\u201d, asever\u00f3, y reiter\u00f3 que el siguiente grupo de vacunaci\u00f3n ser\u00e1 la gente mayor de 60 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

A\u00f1adi\u00f3 que, adem\u00e1s de la pandemia y el proceso de vacunaci\u00f3n, otro de los temas m\u00e1s importantes que ser\u00e1n discutidos este a\u00f1o ser\u00e1n las elecciones intermedias.<\/p>\n

\u201cEs una \u00e9poca de COVID, pero tambi\u00e9n es una temporada pol\u00edtica. Tenemos elecciones; en julio habr\u00e1 cambios. Ser\u00e1 una de las elecciones m\u00e1s importantes en M\u00e9xico\u201d, acot\u00f3 el funcionario.<\/p>\n

El 6 de junio se llevar\u00e1n a cabo en todo el pa\u00eds las elecciones para 15 gubernaturas y se elegir\u00e1n 300 diputaciones por el principio de mayor\u00eda relativa y 200 diputaciones por representaci\u00f3n proporcional, entre otros cargos.<\/p>\n

Limitantes a la deuda<\/p>\n

La calificadora indic\u00f3 que para este a\u00f1o esperar\u00edan un rebote de 4 por ciento en la actividad econ\u00f3mica, tras una ca\u00edda de 8.9 por ciento en 2020, mientras que el titular de Hacienda recalc\u00f3 que para el a\u00f1o pasado estimaron una ca\u00edda de 8 por ciento y un crecimiento del 4.6 por ciento para este 2021.<\/p>\n

Shelly Shetty, managing director de soberanos para Am\u00e9rica Latina de Fitch Ratings, destac\u00f3 en la conferencia que M\u00e9xico fue de los pa\u00edses que menos recurri\u00f3 a deuda para dar apoyos por la crisis sanitaria el a\u00f1o pasado, a lo que Herrera sostuvo que no se recurri\u00f3 a deuda ya que el pago de intereses pondr\u00eda presi\u00f3n a las finanzas p\u00fablicas, adem\u00e1s de que hay un aspecto legal que impide recurrir a deuda que no sea para fines de infraestructura.<\/p>\n

\u201cHay una vieja y restrictiva ley a nivel constitucional que proh\u00edbe el uso de deuda para otra cosa que no sea infraestructura p\u00fablica\u201d, manifest\u00f3 y a\u00f1adi\u00f3 que, aunque hubieran querido y pese a que el mercado permiti\u00f3 a M\u00e9xico acceder a m\u00e1s deuda, no hubiera sido posible su utilizaci\u00f3n para financiar programas de largo plazo o para un programa de pr\u00e9stamos para la iniciativa privada.<\/p>\n

Finanzas bajo presi\u00f3n<\/p>\n

Charles Seville, col\u00edder de soberanos de Am\u00e9rica para Fitch Ratings, asever\u00f3 en el mismo evento que Pemex sigue representando un riesgo para las finanzas p\u00fablicas de M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n

Al respecto, Herrera indic\u00f3 que, si se analiza el flujo operativo de la empresa productiva del estado, este es igual o mejor que varias empresas petroleras con el mismo tama\u00f1o, sin embargo, el problema es el pago de la deuda que mantiene la firma.<\/p>\n

\u201cCuando miramos los n\u00fameros de Pemex, el EBITDA es muy similar o mejor que otras compa\u00f1\u00edas petroleras que tienen el mismo tama\u00f1o, el problema empieza cuando Pemex tiene que pagar su deuda, y eso para nosotros es un problema muy complejo\u201d, asever\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Fitch consider\u00f3 que Pemex sigue registrando p\u00e9rdidas, por lo que el Gobierno seguir\u00e1 inyectando recursos a la firma, a lo que Herrera sostuvo que est\u00e1n reduciendo su estructura tributaria.<\/p>\n

\u201cEstamos reduciendo la estructura tributaria de Pemex para que pueda ajustarse poco a poco, pero tambi\u00e9n para darnos un respiro para compensar esa p\u00e9rdida de ingresos\u201d, abund\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El secretario de Hacienda dijo que el desempe\u00f1o de la econom\u00eda nacional depender\u00e1 de la firma del T-MEC, la pandemia, la aplicaci\u00f3n de las dosis contra el COVID-19 y las elecciones intermedias.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":8382,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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